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Mar. 23rd, 2015 04:52 pmJust noticed the General Social Survey's 2014 info was up. The good stuff is still happening, and perhaps slightly faster - church attendance seems to be dropping more sharply, marijuana legalization support rising jawdroppingly. I think pot will poll more erratically as it starts to actually become legal in more places, as with gay marriage. The fiat legalization of the latter in various unready states may drag at the numbers for quite a while, in fact. Disbelief in God is safely legal, though, so the pace is steadier.
My favorite metric is the prayer one, since it cuts through all the atheist/agnostic/unaffiliated etc. terminology problems. 15 percent never pray, and that's gone up one percent every two years since 2004. The "non" rate is going up by about 1 a year - is 21 at present - but responds to trends more. This number just chugs right on.
Won't hit majority point till, what, 2084. Maybe it will get some tailwind once it hits the 30s, like pot and marriage equality did? But it's a different sort of issue.
If the non rate keeps on at 1 per year it'll be 25 in 2018, 33 in 2026, 50 in 2043. And then I'll die, but not unhappy.
My favorite metric is the prayer one, since it cuts through all the atheist/agnostic/unaffiliated etc. terminology problems. 15 percent never pray, and that's gone up one percent every two years since 2004. The "non" rate is going up by about 1 a year - is 21 at present - but responds to trends more. This number just chugs right on.
Won't hit majority point till, what, 2084. Maybe it will get some tailwind once it hits the 30s, like pot and marriage equality did? But it's a different sort of issue.
If the non rate keeps on at 1 per year it'll be 25 in 2018, 33 in 2026, 50 in 2043. And then I'll die, but not unhappy.
