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[personal profile] proximoception
More reason to dislike Ron Rosenbaum: http://www.slate.com/id/2258484/pagenum/all/#p2

I've tried to shut up about the God issue here (maybe not very hard), but rage will out.

Agnostic attacks on atheism are annoying because most atheists are secretly agnostics and most agnostics are secretly not agnostics.

It's a semantics problem, involving logical versus probabilistic/relative certainty.

Most atheists do not feel that, in identifying themselves that way, they are agreeing that God cannot possibly exist or that science will (or even necessarily can) tell us how the world began. They think it likely that God does not exist in more or less the same way they feel it likely that their hand does exist: to their mind the evidence for that conclusion is compelling, the evidence for contrary ones not.

In evidential matters we can always be biased, hallucinating, imperceptive or deceived - but there has to be evidence of that too for it to be, like, evident, and therefore for the possibility to be something to worry about. What if your last seven thoughts, or even your memories of your whole life, were beamed into your brain by a SPACE COMPUTER? You wouldn't know how to prove or disprove that. I hope you wouldn't care either, until there was compelling supplementary evidence of space computer beamings.

So we're all agnostics about almost everything - believers in God included. Most self-designated believers in God would probably admit to being agnostics about God, too, if you followed a strict enough interpretation of gnosis/knowing ("are you absolutely sure you're not wrong and that there's no room to doubt he exists?"). Whatever percentage of them concede that, though, there will remain a very important difference between them and self-designated atheists, hence the call for terms like 'believer' and 'atheist'. Thinking of them as subgroups of 'true agnosticism' might be helpful, however, to expose how silly any other subgroups of true agnosticism would prove, like 'agnostic' agnostics.

Do you believe it likely that God exists (or 'very likely' if you prefer, or 'very very')? If yes, it's probably useful for you and everyone else to think of you as a believer. If you think it unlikely that he exists, enough to endorse the phrase "I am not one of those who believe God exists," it's probably useful for you to designate yourself by the term used for that group. If you simply don't know whether it is likely or unlikely that God exists, given the state of the evidence, despite the compelling need to decide either way (if God exists you need to reckon with him, after all; and if he doesn't you need to reckon with the radically different set of expectations you should have about reality), then you're not in the happy middle, you're a pretty extreme skeptic. You're saying the world is so confusing that you can't decide, even provisionally, what's going on in it.

But of course no self-designated agnostic thinks that. An agnostic, in practice, is someone who keeps alive both positions because they feel that one is stupid but that the other makes them unhappy. By not dropping either they hope to preserve both some amount of self-respect and some amount of hope (or solidarity with those who hope). You could accuse them of trying to be superior, in a Time magazine, above-the-fray kind of way, but all other positions are equally open to the smugness claim: only I and those like me can face the harsh truths of reality, only I and those like me will be taken by a special friend who is also the creative principle of the universe into realms of intense neatness etc. It's still filling another need, and that need is the preservation, at least as an option, of something crucial that they fear exists only in religion.

I think they're wrong to fear that. And I'm alogically (not illogically) certain they're wrong that there's not enough evidence to decide about God.

as i've said before

Date: 2010-06-30 07:50 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] andalus.livejournal.com
I really wish people would do more to erase the stigma on atheism, it's not that true atheists believe everything in the world is understandable, but that one specific explanation of it is untrue. We've allowed this misunderstanding to propagate by allowing the false dichotomy between faith and science to propagate --- religion began as a science and is still a science: that is, a way to understand the universe and make predictions about it. Saying you don't believe in a Christian god is like saying you are unconvinced in the efficacy and predictive power of spontaneous generation, or ptolemy's spheres, or acupuncture. Or superstring theory. I'm agnostic about superstring theory, but pretty convinced about christian god.

Date: 2010-07-01 03:54 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] proximoception.livejournal.com
A science is not just any way to understand and make predictions about the universe. It's the way to make predictions, test them, then understand slightly more based on the results.

There's no false dichotomy between faith and science - faith is a magical weasel word. Why do you get to believe something untrue and destructive of truth and not be put into a mental hospital? Because I have faith, good sir. Faith = that which allows me to believe without evidence.

Now, there are assumptions that have to be made about the world before predictions can be made, tested and their results analyzed and communicated. This isn't faith though - these aren't things you really really wanna believe, they're things that have to be true for observation and communication to be occurring anyway. Theologians often try to sneak in God as one of these.

Date: 2010-07-01 04:10 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] proximoception.livejournal.com
The 'pretty convinced' thing, though, gets at the heart of the semantics problem. Does agnosis about superstring theory mean you believe it's partially but not wholly right, or that you assume it's c. %50 likely to be true, or that you have no idea how likely it is to be true, or that you think it probably isn't true but accept that it might possibly be? It's an extremely sliding word.

Pretty convinced about God's not existing slides also: convinced a large amount of what's ascribed to the concept must be false, convinced there's a more than 50% chance he doesn't exist, convinced most of the time but not always etc.? The acid test should just be "do you buy this" - it's a clever trick of the enemy, who owns popular consciousness and most of the language, to put the burden of proof on atheists, to make people in general feel that to not believe in God is to believe in Nongod, whose whole alien world has to be explained and justified. And since it's the world that does not give us all we want forever (if all small print directions are followed), being made to vividly imagine it while we watch the atheist try to prove the negative makes us even less willing to pay attention.

Atheism is put through humanwide peer pressure into the Weird Alternative position, to which Christianity et al. rightly belong, since they're the ones attempting to prove the negative and obliviate the obvious: "reality is not as it seems; death is not death" etc.

Date: 2010-07-01 12:17 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] canonfire.livejournal.com
So we're all agnostics about almost everything - believers in God included. Most self-designated believers in God would probably admit to being agnostics about God, too, if you followed a strict enough interpretation of gnosis/knowing ("are you absolutely sure you're not wrong and that there's no room to doubt he exists?").

You don't hang out with many evangelicals, do you? The pietist aesthetic is quite strong in that crowd. They *feel* the existence of God.

Date: 2010-07-01 04:27 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] proximoception.livejournal.com
My "most" might make for a bare 51% in some states, yeah. I think I could pursue it with some by making them admit that feelings can at least conceivably be wrong, but some sweat and waterboarding might be involved.

But even down here it's mostly a cultural echo chamber that does the trick. There's certain phrases repeated and people put those in place of thoughts. When the unbelief tipping point finally comes here it will be pretty fast - the broader culture is a reaction formation to secularism, but individuals here often don't even know what an atheist is. My friend's Texan mother in law had to look it up. And was then appalled.

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