(no subject)

[proximoception]

Harpers published a remarkably brave piece on AIDS and Duesberg in March (though it didn't mention the latter's name till halfway through, after anecdotes of malpractice murders; that's the state of things), available online here: http://www.harpers.org/OutOfControl.html

Comments

[nightspore.livejournal.com]

"Right in theory" -- that is perhaps there is no mechanism that works according to the current theory. But that means the theory is wrong. The practical evidence is overwhelming (so my physician friends tell me).

I believe, a lot, in epidemiology. Duesberg refuses epidemiological evidence.

So he has no hands on experience and denies the power of sophisticated statistical analysis, which again I do know something about.

And yeah, they do fucking pile on, and Gallo is no saint. But they're angry with good reason. And Duesberg's critiques are ancient history. Partly because his enemies have stopped his funding -- of course a lot of what they say about peer review is bullshit, as again I know from the personal experience of friends in other scientific fields. But there's some real footnoting in their piece too -- 12, for example, is helpful.

I don't object to Duesberg's skepticism. I do worry about people's making more out of it than it deserves. It's like global warming. Skeptics fifteen years ago had a lot of legitimate questions. There are a lot fewer of them now. IMHO.

BTW, glad to see you posting again, even if infrequently.

[proximoception.livejournal.com]

I'm with you on global warming, but they're not analogous: AIDS hasn't behaved as predicted. Deaths declined the more they watered down AZT, AIDS didn't positive-feedback its way across the heterosexual population etc. The goal posts are being moved continually, you can see it in the progress of mainstream newspaper articles. Whereas they're as fixed as our coastlines, in regards to GW.

Your physician friends' assurances stem from superior knowledge or from how horrible the alternative possibility is, for them personally. I just bring this up to note the limits of an expert-consensus defense against this particular kind of charge. Any expert in the witness box is also a defendant.

Duesberg refuses epidemiological evidence? He's always accepted, with reservations, the correlations among the AIDS diseases--e.g. http://www.duesberg.com/papers/ch4.html [non-pdf]. He accepts that "AIDS" is a real thing, in the sense that these diseases are the first through the breach when the immune system breaks down. He even accepts the high correlation of these diseases with HIV, his point has always been that the specifics don't indicate cause. When did he deny "the power of sophisticated statistical analysis"? As a non-epidemiologist, Duesberg's argument has relied on nothing else. If you're saying sophisticated next-generation models have been applied by HIV->AIDS theorists, I'd like to see the results. Truly.

And I apologize if the pdf below was by quacks (admittedly, inevitably the vast majority of AIDS-dissenters), I'll have to look at that myself. Though I'd also like to know what the false-positive/false-negative tunings are like for diseases of comparable (alleged) fatality rates.