(no subject)

[proximoception]

So you're telling me Obama didn't need Florida, Ohio, or Virginia (where he finished up +1, +3, +4), since he was up more than five percentage points in each of the plethora of blue states that got him to 270 without any of those three. So short of a revelation he'd tried same-sex cannibalism in college he was always a shoe-in and I lost a lot of precious sleep over nothing. Fucking pollsters.

Comments

[andalus.livejournal.com]

I was worried that I wasn't worried enough. Because I wasn't worried. But that lack of worry, made me worry. For a while even the campaigns weren't trying very hard. Like it was all an elaborate long con to steal advertising money.

[nightspore.livejournal.com]

Rove seems to have been involved in the long con: he spent a whole lot less then he took in.

I was worried that I wasn't worried enough.

There was a story that Gallup best predicted who would win by asking people who they thought would win, which was Obama. I had the opposite theory: that everyone's a pessimist, and if more people thought Obama was going to win, that's because they thought their preferred candidate, Romney, was going to lose. But I was wrong, this time anyhow, assuming Gallup polled accurately, which is an iffy assumption. (But if this was inaccurate, their two inaccuracies would presumably cancel out.)